Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 6.174923 6.800721 7.492520 8.319737 9.289633 10.400428 11.782994
2024-10-27 5.107901 5.913824 6.875928 8.130270 9.755432 11.839463 14.802049
2024-11-03 4.531565 5.415081 6.523580 8.055906 10.187700 13.165617 17.883353
2024-11-10 4.324782 5.317133 6.620153 8.524183 11.366287 15.706530 23.466638
2024-11-17 4.069264 5.111780 6.529314 8.693659 12.116654 17.761713 29.049335
2024-11-24 3.763242 4.800164 6.245909 8.525752 12.292851 18.893615 33.389308
2024-12-01 3.537759 4.576367 6.058535 8.468220 12.622486 20.358276 39.125748
2024-12-08 3.309673 4.328071 5.807986 8.272883 12.671020 21.288767 44.120982
2024-12-15 3.148645 4.163578 5.666312 8.233405 12.985475 22.834552 51.751659
2024-12-22 3.005274 4.013868 5.532662 8.188107 13.275767 24.407937 60.724722
2024-12-29 2.931722 3.962827 5.547559 8.398358 14.101341 27.492014 78.124019
2025-01-05 2.778358 3.779466 5.334954 8.176579 13.998146 28.227109 87.096005
2025-01-12 2.610393 3.573897 5.087639 7.897059 13.797001 28.847769 97.762629
2025-01-19 2.473293 3.410614 4.901646 7.718946 13.806550 30.141518 115.162246
2025-01-26 2.368856 3.292153 4.780916 7.650033 14.051037 32.261849 143.631378
2025-02-02 2.356805 3.319882 4.909925 8.083369 15.587219 39.458296 248.129720
2025-02-09 2.301040 3.272202 4.902667 8.239979 16.479501 45.096566 397.924740
2025-02-16 2.204237 3.150892 4.754959 8.084819 16.510425 47.335942 530.962672
2025-02-23 2.129273 3.062104 4.659793 8.031629 16.816599 51.080513 814.151091
2025-03-02 2.042568 2.949212 4.513226 7.850931 16.722550 52.921699 1137.121616
2025-03-09 1.980853 2.875864 4.435116 7.814394 17.052450 57.297160 2125.899748
2025-03-16 1.922588 2.805601 4.358215 7.772461 17.360940 61.944721 4969.303547
2025-03-23 1.896645 2.789751 4.382793 7.967020 18.477068 73.018509 154381.855832